龙岩人民医院肾内科;龙岩人民医院血液内科;龙岩人民医院检验科;龙岩人民医院产科;
目的 妊娠相关血栓性微血管病(P-TMA)是围生期的急危重症,起病急骤突然,常危及母婴安全,治疗手段有限。寻求非创伤性的P-TMA预测方法,对于改善母婴预后具有重要的意义。方法 通过回顾性分析建立预测模型,选用临床诊断P-TMA患者61例,同时选用520例健康孕产妇作为对照,比较两组实验室指标的差异,依据logistic回归,建立P-TMA预测模型。通过前瞻性研究对预测模型进行外部验证。入选28周以上孕产妇志愿者895例,用建立的预测模型进行测算,其中预测阳性67例,阴性828例。随访至产后3个月,验证和评估该预测模型的价值。结果 血小板(PLT)、乳酸脱氢酶(LDH)及血管性血友病因子(vWF)为P-TMA病变的有效预测指标(均P<0.05),并据此建立logistic回归方程。该方程对P-TMA病变的预测概率拟合ROC曲线,AUC为0.997(P<0.001)。Hosmer-Lemeshow检验的拟合度良好(P=0.986)。在895例志愿者中进行的前瞻性外部验证,AUC为0.830(P<0.001),预测阳性到临床诊断的时间间隔为(11±6.5)d,提示该模型对P-TMA具有良好的预测功能。结论 基于PLT、LDH及vWF建立的无创性的P-TMA预测模型,临床易开展,可有效对P-TMA患者早期预警,改善母婴预后。
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基本信息:
DOI:10.19829/j.zgfybj.issn.1001-4411.2024.15.002
中图分类号:R714.252
引用信息:
[1]谢祖刚,黄冬连,张春春等.妊娠相关血栓性微血管病预测模型的建立与验证[J].中国妇幼保健,2024,39(15):2784-2790.DOI:10.19829/j.zgfybj.issn.1001-4411.2024.15.002.
基金信息:
福建省龙岩市科技项目(2020LYF17019)